More about the Foreign Exchange Market

The Foreign Exchange (FX) Market, also referred to as the Forex or spot currency market, is the largest financial market in the world, with a daily average turnover of approximately 1.9 trillion US$. Until now, large multi-national corporations, global money managers, registered dealers, international money brokers, and professional traders from major international investment and commercial banks have dominated the FX market.

The FX market is considered to be an Over the Counter (OTC) or “Interbank” market, because transactions are conducted between two counterparts over the telephone or via an electronic network. The Forex market is a true 24 hour market because it opens at 5:00 pm Eastern Standard Time on Sunday evening, and continues around the globe through the major market epicenter’s until closing at 5:00 pm Eastern Standard time on Friday afternoon. Forex trading involves substantial risk of loss and is not suitable for everyone.

Forex Quote - How to Read a Currency Quote - Before trading currencies an investor has to understand the basic terminology of the forex market, including how to interpret forex quotes. In every foreign exchange transaction an investor is simultaneously buying one currency and selling another. These two currencies make up a currency pair. This is an example of a foreign currency exchange rate of the dollar versus the yen:
USD/JPY = 119.72

The currency to the left of the slash ("/") is called the base currency (in this example, the US dollar) and the one on the right is called the quote currency or counter currency (in this example, the Japanese Yen). This notation means that 1 unit of the base currency (that is, 1 dollar) is equal to 119.72 Japanese Yen. If buying, the exchange rate specifies how much you have to pay in units of the quote currency to buy one unit of the base currency; in the above example, you have to pay 119.72 yen to buy 1 US dollar. If selling, the foreign currency exchange rate specifies how much units of the quote currency you get for selling one unit of the base currency; in the above example, you will receive 119.72 Japanese Yen when you sell 1 US dollar.

The bid and ask - When trading forex you will often see a two-sided quote, consisting of a 'bid' and 'ask'. The 'bid' is the price at which you can sell the base currency (at the same time buying the counter currency). The 'ask' is the price at which you can buy the base currency (at the same time selling the counter currency).

Forex trading begins in Sydney and moves around the globe at each financial center - Tokyo, London and New York. Unlike other financil markets investors can respond to currency fluctuations caused by economic, social and political events at the time they occur - day or night.

Economic Indicators - When focusing exclusively on the impact that economic indicators have on price action in a particular market, the foreign exchange markets are the most challenging, and therefore, have greatest potential for profits of any market. Obviously, factors other than economic indicators move prices and as such make other markets more or less potentially profitable. But since a currency is a proxy for the country it represents, the economic health of that country is priced into the currency. One very important way to measure the health of an economy is through economic indicators.

The Gross Domestic Product (GDP) - The sum of all goods and services produced either by domestic or foreign companies. GDP indicates the pace at which a country's economy is growing (or shrinking) and is considered the broadest indicator of economic output and growth.

Industrial Production - It is a chain-weighted measure of the change in the production of the nation's factories, mines and utilities as well as a measure of their industrial capacity and of how many available resources among factories, utilities and mines are being used (commonly known as capacity utilization). The manufacturing sector accounts for one-quarter of the economy. The capacity utilization rate provides an estimate of how much factory capacity is in use.

Purchasing Managers Index (PMI) - The National Association of Purchasing Managers (NAPM), now called the Institute for Supply Management, releases a monthly composite index of national manufacturing conditions, constructed from data on new orders, production, supplier delivery times, backlogs, inventories, prices, employment, export orders, and import orders. It is divided into manufacturing and non-manufacturing sub-indices.

Producer Price Index (PPI) - The Producer Price Index (PPI) is a measure of price changes in the manufacturing sector. It measures average changes in selling prices received by domestic producers in the manufacturing, mining, agriculture, and electric utility industries for their output. The PPIs most often used for economic analysis are those for finished goods, intermediate goods, and crude goods.

Consumer Price Index (CPI) - The Consumer Price Index (CPI) is a measure of the average price level paid by urban consumers (80% of population) for a fixed basket of goods and services. It reports price changes in over 200 categories. The CPI also includes various user fees and taxes directly associated with the prices of specific goods and services.

Durable Goods - Durable Goods Orders measures new orders placed with domestic manufacturers for immediate and future delivery of factory hard goods. A durable good is defined as a good that lasts an extended period of time (over three years) during which its services are extended.

Employment Cost Index (ECI) - Payroll employment is a measure of the number of jobs in more than 500 industries in all states and 255 metropolitan areas. The employment estimates are based on a survey of larger businesses and counts the number of paid employees working part-time or full-time in the nation's business and government establishments.

Retail Sales - The retail sales report is a measure of the total receipts of retail stores from samples representing all sizes and kinds of business in retail trade throughout the nation. It is the timeliest indicator of broad consumer spending patterns and is adjusted for normal seasonal variation, holidays, and trading-day differences. Retail sales include durable and nondurable merchandise sold, and services and excise taxes incidental to the sale of merchandise. Excluded are sales taxes collected directly from the customer.

Housing Starts - The Housing Starts report measures the number of residential units on which construction is begun each month. A start in construction is defined as the beginning of excavation of the foundation for the building and is comprised primarily of residential housing. Housing is very interest rate sensitive and is one of the first sectors to react to changes in interest rates. Significant reaction of start/permits to changing interest rates signals interest rates are nearing trough or peak. To analyze, focus on the percentage change in levels from the previous month. Report is released around the middle of the following month.